Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Newark → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 42%
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14:45 EWR → 16:28 ORDUA 2788 · United · 2h 43m · 50% on time, 4.2% cancelled
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1h 30m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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17:58 ORD → 19:44 BNAUA 2784 · United · 1h 46m · 63% on time, 2.8% cancelled
Total trip 5h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip5h 59mEWR 14:45 to BNA 19:44, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.