Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Traverse City via Chicago: arrives on time 43%

  1. 14:45 EWR → 16:28 ORD
    UA 2788 · United · 2h 43m · 50% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 31m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 ORD → 20:19 TVC
    UA 2790 · United · 1h 20m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 31m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 34mEWR 14:45 to TVC 20:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.