Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Seattle via San Francisco: arrives on time 20%

  1. 19:59 IND → 21:47 SFO
    UA 2799 · United · 4h 48m · 22% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:59 SFO → 01:29 SEA +1 day
    UA 5579 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 30m · 72% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Indianapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection29%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 71% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (29%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip8h 30mIND 19:59 to SEA 01:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.