Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sioux Falls via Denver: arrives on time 56%

  1. 14:33 ORD → 16:31 DEN
    UA 2803 · United · 2h 58m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:28 DEN → 20:08 FSD
    UA 645 · United · 1h 40m · 78% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 35mORD 14:33 to FSD 20:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.