tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Tampa via Chicago: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:00 STL → 07:30 ORD
    UA 2805 · United · 1h 30m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:30 ORD → 13:21 TPA
    AA 2920 · American · 2h 51m · 79% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 21mSTL 06:00 to TPA 13:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.