tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Rapid City via Denver: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:00 ORD → 07:42 DEN
    UA 2806 · United · 2h 42m · 97% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 23m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 DEN → 11:30 RAP
    UA 4674 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 25m · 81% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rapid City is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 98 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 23m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 30mORD 06:00 to RAP 11:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.