tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Louisville via Denver: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:00 ORD → 07:42 DEN
    UA 2806 · United · 2h 42m · 97% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 03m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:45 DEN → 14:28 SDF
    UA 1479 · United · 2h 43m · 90% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 78 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 03m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 28mORD 06:00 to SDF 14:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.