Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → San Francisco via Houston: arrives on time 19%

  1. 15:40 EWR → 18:46 IAH
    UA 2815 · United · 4h 06m · 69% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:35 IAH → 21:44 SFO
    UA 1976 · United · 4h 09m · 33% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (33%).
Total trip9h 04mEWR 15:40 to SFO 21:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.