tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Jacksonville via Houston: arrives on time 55%

  1. 15:40 EWR → 18:46 IAH
    UA 2815 · United · 4h 06m · 69% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 IAH → 23:20 JAX
    UA 2293 · United · 2h 20m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 40mEWR 15:40 to JAX 23:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.