tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Aspen via Denver: arrives on time 70%

  1. 08:30 IAH → 10:05 DEN
    UA 2816 · United · 2h 35m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:18 DEN → 12:26 ASE
    UA 5769 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 08m · 74% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Aspen is 1 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip4h 56mIAH 08:30 to ASE 12:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.