tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Newark via San Francisco: arrives on time 34%

  1. 07:00 PDX → 08:56 SFO
    UA 2818 · United · 1h 56m · 35% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 24m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:20 SFO → 19:03 EWR
    UA 713 · United · 5h 43m · 75% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 24m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip9h 03mPDX 07:00 to EWR 19:03, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.