tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Detroit via Dulles: arrives on time 75%

  1. 11:48 JAX → 13:44 IAD
    UA 2826 · United · 1h 56m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 38m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:22 IAD → 19:02 DTW
    UA 6246 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 40m · 78% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 173 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 38m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 14mJAX 11:48 to DTW 19:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.