Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Houston → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 35%
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11:55 IAH → 14:51 ORDUA 2827 · United · 2h 56m · 67% on time, 1.4% cancelled
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58m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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15:49 ORD → 17:40 BNAUA 5665 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 51m · 58% on time, 4.6% cancelled
Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (4.6% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip5h 45mIAH 11:55 to BNA 17:40, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.