Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Reno via San Francisco: arrives on time 28%

  1. 08:45 SEA → 11:03 SFO
    UA 2831 · United · 2h 18m · 33% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:12 SFO → 13:28 RNO
    UA 5707 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 16m · 65% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip4h 43mSEA 08:45 to RNO 13:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.