Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Houston via San Francisco: arrives on time 35%

  1. 08:45 SEA → 11:03 SFO
    UA 2831 · United · 2h 18m · 33% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:15 SFO → 18:27 IAH
    UA 1387 · United · 4h 12m · 78% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection47%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 53% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (47%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 42mSEA 08:45 to IAH 18:27, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.