Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Milwaukee via Denver: arrives on time 33%

  1. 16:59 LGA → 19:35 DEN
    UA 2834 · United · 4h 36m · 60% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:27 DEN → 23:59 MKE
    UA 4785 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 32m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip8h 00mLGA 16:59 to MKE 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.