Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Madison via Denver: arrives on time 35%
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16:59 LGA → 19:35 DENUA 2834 · United · 4h 36m · 60% on time, 1.4% cancelled
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59m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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20:34 DEN → 23:59 MSNUA 5214 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 25m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip8h 00mLGA 16:59 to MSN 23:59, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.