Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Denver: arrives on time 46%
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16:59 LGA → 19:35 DENUA 2834 · United · 4h 36m · 60% on time, 1.4% cancelled
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1h 02m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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20:37 DEN → 23:44 XNAUA 5269 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 07m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 7h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 45mLGA 16:59 to XNA 23:44, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.