tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Pittsburgh via Chicago: arrives on time 45%

  1. 10:52 SEA → 17:05 ORD
    UA 2835 · United · 4h 13m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:05 ORD → 20:51 PIT
    UA 1946 · United · 1h 46m · 64% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 59mSEA 10:52 to PIT 20:51, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.