Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Phoenix → Dulles via San Francisco: arrives on time 31%
-
19:47 PHX → 21:50 SFOUA 2837 · United · 2h 03m · 19% on time, 0.0% cancelled
-
1h 15m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
-
23:05 SFO → 07:30 IAD +1 dayUA 1083 · United · 5h 25m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 8h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection39%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 61% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (39%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 43mPHX 19:47 to IAD 07:30, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.