Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Phoenix → Nashville via San Francisco: arrives on time 51%
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19:47 PHX → 21:50 SFOUA 2837 · United · 2h 03m · 19% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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2h 09m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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23:59 SFO → 06:37 BNA +1 dayUA 1815 · United · 4h 38m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 8h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 84 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 09m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip8h 50mPHX 19:47 to BNA 06:37, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.