Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Nashville → Norfolk via Newark: arrives on time 34%
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15:35 BNA → 19:00 EWRUA 2848 · United · 2h 25m · 57% on time, 6.2% cancelled
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59m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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19:59 EWR → 21:42 ORFUA 3439 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 43m · 78% on time, 13.0% cancelled
Total trip 5h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Norfolk is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (6.2% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (13.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 07mBNA 15:35 to ORF 21:42, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.