Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Dulles via Los Angeles: arrives on time 45%

  1. 20:55 SFO → 22:37 LAX
    UA 2850 · United · 1h 42m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:30 LAX → 07:33 IAD +1 day
    UA 2282 · United · 5h 03m · 89% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 38mSFO 20:55 to IAD 07:33, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.