tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Knoxville via Dulles: arrives on time 49%

  1. 12:26 DEN → 17:58 IAD
    UA 2853 · United · 3h 32m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:46 IAD → 20:34 TYS
    UA 4914 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 48m · 75% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Knoxville is 2 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 08mDEN 12:26 to TYS 20:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.