tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Burbank → Baltimore via San Francisco: arrives on time 35%

  1. 20:22 BUR → 21:50 SFO
    UA 2854 · United · 1h 28m · 53% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 SFO → 07:10 BWI +1 day
    UA 1340 · United · 5h 30m · 86% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Burbank). Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection41%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 59% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (41%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip7h 48mBUR 20:22 to BWI 07:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.