tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Burbank → Indianapolis via San Francisco: arrives on time 38%

  1. 20:22 BUR → 21:50 SFO
    UA 2854 · United · 1h 28m · 53% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:05 SFO → 06:38 IND +1 day
    UA 2477 · United · 4h 33m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 3 h ahead of Burbank). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip7h 16mBUR 20:22 to IND 06:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.