tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Burbank → Houston via San Francisco: arrives on time 80%

  1. 20:22 BUR → 21:50 SFO
    UA 2854 · United · 1h 28m · 53% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 00:45 SFO → 06:34 IAH +1 day
    UA 604 · United · 3h 49m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of Burbank). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 12mBUR 20:22 to IAH 06:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.