tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Everett via Las Vegas: arrives on time 81%

  1. 14:21 SFO → 16:11 LAS
    UA 2855 · United · 1h 50m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 39m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:50 LAS → 22:30 PAE
    AS 366 · Alaska · 2h 40m · 83% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 129 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 39m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 09mSFO 14:21 to PAE 22:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.