Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → Seattle via San Francisco: arrives on time 9%

  1. 19:31 CMH → 21:37 SFO
    UA 2861 · United · 5h 06m · 5% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:59 SFO → 01:29 SEA +1 day
    UA 5579 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 30m · 72% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Columbus). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection13%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 87% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time9%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (13%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip8h 58mCMH 19:31 to SEA 01:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.