Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Sacramento → Chicago via Houston: arrives on time 60%
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05:15 SMF → 11:01 IAHUA 2863 · United · 3h 46m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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54m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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11:55 IAH → 14:51 ORDUA 2827 · United · 2h 56m · 67% on time, 1.4% cancelled
Total trip 7h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 36mSMF 05:15 to ORD 14:51, layover included
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.