tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Tucson via San Francisco: arrives on time 72%

  1. 15:33 SEA → 17:47 SFO
    UA 2866 · United · 2h 14m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:57 SFO → 23:26 TUS
    UA 5688 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 29m · 77% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 53mSEA 15:33 to TUS 23:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.