tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Palm Springs via San Francisco: arrives on time 37%

  1. 15:33 SEA → 17:47 SFO
    UA 2866 · United · 2h 14m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:38 SFO → 20:26 PSP
    UA 5705 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 48m · 83% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection45%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 55% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (45%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip4h 53mSEA 15:33 to PSP 20:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.