Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Hailey via San Francisco: arrives on time 47%

  1. 15:33 SEA → 17:47 SFO
    UA 2866 · United · 2h 14m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:55 SFO → 21:51 SUN
    UA 5986 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 56m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hailey is 1 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 18mSEA 15:33 to SUN 21:51, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.