tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Traverse City via Newark: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:07 ATL → 08:25 EWR
    UA 299 · United · 2h 18m · 91% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 11m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:36 EWR → 13:00 TVC
    UA 3588 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 24m · 86% on time, 5.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 86 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (5.4% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 53mATL 06:07 to TVC 13:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.