tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Baltimore via Chicago: arrives on time 30%

  1. 18:41 MCI → 20:33 ORD
    UA 303 · United · 1h 52m · 75% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 ORD → 00:28 BWI +1 day
    UA 675 · United · 2h 08m · 60% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 1 h ahead of Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip4h 47mMCI 18:41 to BWI 00:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.