tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Indianapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 45%

  1. 18:41 MCI → 20:33 ORD
    UA 303 · United · 1h 52m · 75% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:25 ORD → 23:44 IND
    UA 3660 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 19m · 80% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 1 h ahead of Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 03mMCI 18:41 to IND 23:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.