tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:00 MSP → 07:44 ORD
    UA 307 · United · 1h 44m · 92% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 56m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:40 ORD → 12:59 JFK
    B6 906 · JetBlue · 2h 19m · 88% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 56m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 59mMSP 06:00 to JFK 12:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.