tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Buffalo via Chicago: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:00 MSP → 07:44 ORD
    UA 307 · United · 1h 44m · 92% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:25 ORD → 13:13 BUF
    UA 4382 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 48m · 73% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Buffalo is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 116 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 13mMSP 06:00 to BUF 13:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.