tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Rapid City via Chicago: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:00 MSP → 07:44 ORD
    UA 307 · United · 1h 44m · 92% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 56m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:40 ORD → 11:14 RAP
    AA 3766 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 34m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rapid City is 1 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 56m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 14mMSP 06:00 to RAP 11:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.