tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Traverse City via Chicago: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:00 MSP → 07:44 ORD
    UA 307 · United · 1h 44m · 92% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 48m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:32 ORD → 11:54 TVC
    AA 4190 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 22m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Traverse City is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 48m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip4h 54mMSP 06:00 to TVC 11:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.