tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Raleigh/Durham via Chicago: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:00 MSP → 07:44 ORD
    UA 307 · United · 1h 44m · 92% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 26m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:10 ORD → 12:33 RDU
    UA 5326 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 23m · 89% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 41 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 26m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip5h 33mMSP 06:00 to RDU 12:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.