tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Memphis via Chicago: arrives on time 73%

  1. 06:00 MSP → 07:44 ORD
    UA 307 · United · 1h 44m · 92% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 ORD → 11:05 MEM
    UA 5593 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 05m · 78% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 05mMSP 06:00 to MEM 11:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.