tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Des Moines via Chicago: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:00 MSP → 07:44 ORD
    UA 307 · United · 1h 44m · 92% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:42 ORD → 10:17 DSM
    UA 1803 · United · 1h 35m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip4h 17mMSP 06:00 to DSM 10:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.