tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 73%

  1. 06:00 MSP → 07:44 ORD
    UA 307 · United · 1h 44m · 92% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 07m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:51 ORD → 14:17 EWR
    UA 1856 · United · 2h 26m · 80% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 142 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 07m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 17mMSP 06:00 to EWR 14:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.