tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:00 MSP → 07:44 ORD
    UA 307 · United · 1h 44m · 92% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 53m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:37 ORD → 12:29 BNA
    UA 2414 · United · 1h 52m · 82% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 128 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 53m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 29mMSP 06:00 to BNA 12:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.