Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → San Francisco via Chicago: arrives on time 47%

  1. 06:00 MSP → 07:44 ORD
    UA 307 · United · 1h 44m · 92% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:50 ORD → 11:38 SFO
    UA 2610 · United · 4h 48m · 54% on time, 6.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (6.2% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip7h 38mMSP 06:00 to SFO 11:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.