tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Houston via Chicago: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:00 MSP → 07:44 ORD
    UA 307 · United · 1h 44m · 92% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:25 ORD → 13:23 IAH
    UA 2638 · United · 2h 58m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 116 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip7h 23mMSP 06:00 to IAH 13:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.