tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Cleveland via Chicago: arrives on time 90%

  1. 06:00 MSP → 07:44 ORD
    UA 307 · United · 1h 44m · 92% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 21m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:05 ORD → 11:41 CLE
    UA 3422 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 36m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 21m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip4h 41mMSP 06:00 to CLE 11:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.