tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Raleigh/Durham via Chicago: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:00 MSP → 07:44 ORD
    UA 307 · United · 1h 44m · 92% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:29 ORD → 12:48 RDU
    AA 4756 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 19m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip5h 48mMSP 06:00 to RDU 12:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.