tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:00 MSP → 07:44 ORD
    UA 307 · United · 1h 44m · 92% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 01m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:45 ORD → 13:59 DCA
    AA 4809 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 14m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 91 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 01m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 59mMSP 06:00 to DCA 13:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.